Advanced Fantasy Football Draft Player Values
Published September 1, 2011 | 
The draft is the most important part of winning your fantasy league each year. There are many important factors to consider for each player when drafting them including injury risk, upside/potential, and consistency. But the dominant factor which you want to hold true with every pick is value. The way most think of value in fantasy is to grab a guy much later than your trusted source says to draft them, or where you think he should go.
Introducing PAA and PAL
PAA, or Points Above Average, is the projected amount of fantasy points over the average projected points at that position. So if Adrian Peterson is projected for 260points, and you league will start 30 RB’s each week, and the average projections of the top 30 RBs is 200, Adrian Peterson’s PAA is 60 and his PAA/Week is 3.75 Pts/Wk (60 points /16 weeks).
PAL , or Points Above Last, is very similar to PAA, just compared with the last projected starter at each position rather than the average. So PAL is the player’s projected points subtracted by the lowest projected starter in your league. So Adrian Peterson with 260 projected points and the #31 RB is Fred Jackson with 142 projected points, Peterson’s PAL is 118 (260-142) and his PAL/Week is 7.375 (118 points /16 weeks).
Fully Customized To Your League
Each advanced fantasy draft values page (Overall, QB, RB, WR, TE) can be tailored to your specific league to take into account how many at each position will be starting. Use the input forms just above each data table to change the values. Continue reading
Posted in Fantasy, Statistics | 
Advanced Fantasy Draft Values, PAA, PAL, QB Draft Values, RB Draft Values2011 Fantasy Football QB Sleepers
Published September 1, 2011 | 
This year all the talk is about Vick and Aaron Rodgers. Both are running QB’s, and get a lot of touchdowns with their feet. If you can get one of these guys without sacrificing a top pick, great. If not, it’s worth holding out for quite a few rounds until you can pick up a couple sleepers or a decent guy going later. If you’re in a multiple QB league, QB sleepers might end up being invaluable.
Josh Freeman, QB, TB
In 2010, Josh Freeman burst onto the scene establishing himself as a star QB in this league. Freeman in the final 12 weeks of 2010 threw 20 TDs and only 3 picks. While he and Vick had one of the luckiest possible interception years ever, that may not matter.
Freeman rushed for 364 yards and not a single TD. in 2009 he didnt’ have a single rushing TD either, so it may be a trend, but that just has to be unlucky. While LeGarrette Blount is going to get the primary goal line carries, even if Freeman throws 6 more picks, that can easily be counteracted by only 3 more passing TDs and 2 rush TDs. QB’s that get rush yards like Rodgers and Freeman can really make a fantasy difference.
I would feel comfortable with Freeman as a #1 QB if I’m able to pick up 2 or 3 stud running backs in the first 3 rounds and hold out for Freeman in the 8th to 10th rounds. We have him at #5 overall, which sounds crazy, but he finished at 7th QB overall with 0 rush TDs in 2010.
PickingPros Projections: #5 QB, 3252 Yds, 25 TD 6 INT, 264 Pts.
Other Guys: Yahoo #9 QB, ESPN #10 QB 247 Pts Continue reading
Posted in Fantasy | Cam Newton, Fantasy Sleepers, Josh Freeman, Matt Stafford, QB Sleepers, Vince Young