After a very interesting Monday Night game where the Packers shot themselves in the foot with penalties, a fumble late, and finally some terrible clock management to hand the Bears the win (and make my prediction correct) , it’s time to move on to the week 4 slate of games.
The games of the week are the two closest matchups this week from my win probabilities algorithm.
The first game is the Redskins with Donovan McNabb returning to Philadelphia. Now this game is bigger than just how close the projections algorithm has them. McNabb was traded within the division to a rival to allow room for an unproven QB, Kevin Kolb, to take the helm. And now since Vick is the starting QB, there is even more drama.
McNabb recruited Vick to the Eagles and suggested Andy Reid take a look at him. Now he’s playing lights out if you watch him. If you look at his efficiency stats, Vick doesn’t look too much better than average but visually the guy looks unstoppable. Vick is also leading the NFL in fantasy points scored.
McNabb probably circled these games immeditaely when the schedule came out. He was booted out in a similar way to Brett Favre out of Green Bay. Both guys were their franchises best ever QB’s and they were tossed out without much worry or thought.
McNabb has thrown a lot of deep 50+ yard passes this season that have just barely missed his guys by a stride. If he connects on one or two of these he’ll put up some monster numbers. I only have him projected for 210 ds but with the way the Redskins have failed ot run the ball thus far, they might go all pass, especially if they are down.
Look for Vick to continue to make big plays with his arm and his legs, and look for him to continue to lead the league in sacks and errant passes as well. This should be a very entreating game at the very least and should be a close one all the way to the end.
The second game features that Team that T.O. and that Mexican number dude play for versus that one city that Lebron James burned to the ground a couple months ago.
The Browns are a very slight favorite according to the prediction. But who really cares? No one is watching this game unless they are watching NFL redzone (which you should be). So let’s just run down some fantasy stat projections for the reality TV stars on the Bengalcats:
OchoJohnson: 6 rec, 11 targets, 74 yds & 0.4 TD’s for a total of 10 fantasy points. He had 3 last week, 4 in week 2.
T.Ocho.: 4.5 rec, 11 targets, 51 yards & 0 TDs for 5 points. He’s had 5,6, and 4 points in the first 3 weeks.
The NFL pre-season kicked off tonight with the annual hall of fame game in canton, Ohio. The Bengals took on the Cowboys in a fairly typcial pre-season game.
The X-factor that made it interesting was Terrell Owens. His sudden departure from the Cowboys a little over a year ago made headlines and surprised no one but T.O. (he even said after the game he still thinks he should be a Cowboy).
T.O. is now catching Carson Palmer’s passes in Cincy alongside Chad OchentaCinco.
Say what you want about T.O. and his antics, but if you are one of those people who think he has lost two steps and doesn’t still ahve a top 15 WR game, you are wrongly mistaken. He put up pretty good numbers for a losing team with the most untalented batch of QB’s I’ve ever seen.
T.O. and OchoCinco will be impossible to cover, and will help Carson Palmer come back from a year that saw the Bengals be the 26th ranked passing team in the NFL. Strange enough, the Bengals had their worst passing year, and had one of Carson Palmer’s two best years.
It is just pre-season and no one really cares except head coaches and 4th string defensive backs. But the excitement is back and the NFL season is just on the horizon.
Check out the game’s Box Score.
The Jets and coach Rex Ryan have clearly overdosed on reality television. It’ being reported today that the Jets are now in the mix for T.O. and are considering the opportunity of signing him.
If they do one thing is for sure, Hard Knocks on HBO is must see TV. Adding Terrell Owens would give them 4 potential #1 wide receivers: Braylon Edwards, Santonio Holmes (4 gm suspension), Jerricho Cotchery, and Owens.
All four have the talent to be #1 receivers (Cotchery proved this with Favre at the helm). Braylon Edwards was traded away from the Browns to the Jets last year in advance of a suspension amid character issues and knocking out Lebron’s little buddy. Santonio Holmes was traded to the Jets this offseason for a 5th round pick, because of a 4 game suspension for violating the leagues substance abuse policy (a.k.a character issues).
Owens has never been arrested, or even really considered for any misconduct off the field. On the field and in the locker room is another question.
T.O. blew up a great situation in San Francisco with Jeff Garcia insinuating Garcia is gay saying “If it looks like a rat, and smells like a rat, must be a rat”. Owens was traded away to the Ravens (where he refused to go and play with Kyle Boller) and eventually landed in Philly.
He killed it with McNabb, but still had trouble keeping his ego in check and his mouth shut. After a huge performance in the Superbowl, he blamed McNabb for being soft and quitting, and was cut by the Eagles the following season.
In Dallas, he fared much better, but still was yapping on the sideline all day. He eventually was cut by the Cowboys and picked up by the Bills. He finally kept his mouth shut and played some good football last year with the Bills considering the QB talent and weather.
Owens is still talented and still a top 10 WR in the league despite popular opinion. But do the Jets really need to add another potential problem at the WR position alone? They’ve also got the uber-complaining Tomlinson, Revis holding out, and a bunch of other washed up veterans trying to revive careers.
This may all be a smoke screen created by Drew Rosenhaus (T.O.’s agent) since Owens has already been offered a contract to play with Carson Palmer and the Bengals. This could just be a negotiation tactic to get a million or so extra bucks from the Bengals.
If he lines up in either Cincy or New Jersey, be ready for a super reality show with Ocho’s reality show and T.O.’s cry fest to be combined, or Jets’ Hard Knocks and T.O.’s cry fest to be combined to create ultimate celebrity sports reality shows that everyone can laugh at.