Games of the Week (Week 4)
Published September 29, 2010 | 
After a very interesting Monday Night game where the Packers shot themselves in the foot with penalties, a fumble late, and finally some terrible clock management to hand the Bears the win (and make my prediction correct) , it’s time to move on to the week 4 slate of games.
The games of the week are the two closest matchups this week from my win probabilities algorithm.
The first game is the Redskins with Donovan McNabb returning to Philadelphia. Now this game is bigger than just how close the projections algorithm has them. McNabb was traded within the division to a rival to allow room for an unproven QB, Kevin Kolb, to take the helm. And now since Vick is the starting QB, there is even more drama.
McNabb recruited Vick to the Eagles and suggested Andy Reid take a look at him. Now he’s playing lights out if you watch him. If you look at his efficiency stats, Vick doesn’t look too much better than average but visually the guy looks unstoppable. Vick is also leading the NFL in fantasy points scored.
McNabb probably circled these games immeditaely when the schedule came out. He was booted out in a similar way to Brett Favre out of Green Bay. Both guys were their franchises best ever QB’s and they were tossed out without much worry or thought.
McNabb has thrown a lot of deep 50+ yard passes this season that have just barely missed his guys by a stride. If he connects on one or two of these he’ll put up some monster numbers. I only have him projected for 210 ds but with the way the Redskins have failed ot run the ball thus far, they might go all pass, especially if they are down.
Look for Vick to continue to make big plays with his arm and his legs, and look for him to continue to lead the league in sacks and errant passes as well. This should be a very entreating game at the very least and should be a close one all the way to the end.
Full Redskins vs. Eagles Projections
The second game features that Team that T.O. and that Mexican number dude play for versus that one city that Lebron James burned to the ground a couple months ago.
The Browns are a very slight favorite according to the prediction. But who really cares? No one is watching this game unless they are watching NFL redzone (which you should be). So let’s just run down some fantasy stat projections for the reality TV stars on the Bengalcats:
OchoJohnson: 6 rec, 11 targets, 74 yds & 0.4 TD’s for a total of 10 fantasy points. He had 3 last week, 4 in week 2.
T.Ocho.: 4.5 rec, 11 targets, 51 yards & 0 TDs for 5 points. He’s had 5,6, and 4 points in the first 3 weeks.
Jason Campbell Traded to Raiders, Contract Extended
Published April 24, 2010 | 
Jason Campbell has been traded to the Oakland Raiders from the Washington Redskins, who apparently ARE going to admit that Jamarcus Russell is garbage at QB. Now they gave up a 4th round pick for Campbell, which nis definitely worth it. But not a 4th rounder this year, and not a 4th rounder in the 2011 draft, but a 4th rounder in the 2012 draft! What a steal, that would essentially be the same worth as a 7th rounder this year, for a guy that can come in and play the position immediately. The Redskins continue to blow the draft process at a whole getting almost nothing for a good QB, but they definitely did Campbell a favor (even though its the raiders) with McNabb taking over the starting job.
The Oakland Raiders also extended Jason Campbell for another year on his contract. He will make 3.1 million in 2010 and he was extended 1 year for 4.5 million in 2011.
Jason Campbell has increased his QB rating, completion % and TD/INT ratio every year for three years, all with different offenses.